End Of CH Que NO: 1

Assume that inflation depends on two things: the level of aggregate demand, indicated by the inverse of unemployment (1/U), and the expected rate of i

Assume that inflation depends on two things: the level of aggregate demand, indicated by the inverse of unemployment (1/U), and the expected rate of inflation (π et). Assume that the rate of inflation (πt) is given by the equation:

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                             πt = (48/U – 6) + πet

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Assume initially (year 0) that the actual and expected rate of inflation is zero.

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(a)  What is the current (natural) rate of unemployment

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(b)    Now assume in year 1 that the government wishes to reduce unemployment to 4 per cent and continues to expand aggregate demand by as much as is necessary to achieve this. Fill in the rows for years 0 to 4 in the following table. It is assumed for simplicity that the expected rate of inflation in a given year (πet) is equal to the actual rate of inflation in the previous year (πt–1).

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(c)    Now assume in year 5 that the government, worried about rising inflation, reduces aggregate demand sufficiently to reduce inflation by 3 per cent in that year. What must the rate of unemployment be raised to in that year?

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(d)    Assuming that unemployment stays at this high level, continue the table for years 5 to 7.

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